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Filip Forsberg vs Matthew Tkachuk

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Matthew Tkachuk is ahead on 12 of 12 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Matthew Tkachuk sits in the 86th percentile, Filip Forsberg the 30th.

MeasureForsbergTkachuk
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals01
Assists11
Ice time per game20:3521:45
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1352 pct0.3085 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct4.088 pct
Goals above expected−0.329 pct+0.170 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share46.9%40 pct54.9%59 pct
Chances for per 602.0136 pct2.1241 pct
Chances against per 602.2750 pct1.7474 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3476 pct+0.7897 pct
Creates per 60+0.4188 pct+0.5795 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0630 pct+0.2186 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →