Filip Forsberg vs Jake Guentzel
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Predators · LFilip ForsbergChange first player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Mavrik Bourque
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Filip Forsberg
- Roman Josi
- Nick Perbix
- Nils Hoglander
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Ross Colton
- Reid Schaefer
- Brady Skjei
- William Trudeau
- Ryan Ufko
- Alexander Kerfoot
- Jack Ahcan
- Nicolas Hague
- Adam Wilsby
- Jack Drury
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Jake Guentzel sits in the 88th percentile, Filip Forsberg the 36th.
| Measure | Forsberg | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:35 | 21:13 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1352 pct | 0.3689 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.560 pct | 3.377 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.329 pct | −1.13 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 46.9%40 pct | 59.2%69 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.0136 pct | 3.3988 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.2750 pct | 2.3347 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3476 pct | +0.5690 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4188 pct | +0.5393 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0630 pct | +0.0451 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →