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Tomas Hertl vs Dylan Guenther

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Dylan Guenther sits in the 98th percentile, Tomas Hertl the 2nd.

MeasureHertlGuenther
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals13
Assists02
Ice time per game16:3215:43
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6899 pct0.4696 pct
Shot attempts per game5.795 pct5.093 pct
Goals above expected−1.02 pct+1.698 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share74.8%97 pct59.0%69 pct
Chances for per 604.0796 pct3.1079 pct
Chances against per 601.3789 pct2.1655 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6094 pct+0.3175 pct
Creates per 60+0.3891 pct+0.3790 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2186 pct−0.0628 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →