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Tomas Hertl vs Shea Theodore

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Shea Theodore sits in the 87th percentile, Tomas Hertl the 2nd.

MeasureHertlTheodore
Scoring · NHL
Points13
Goals11
Assists02
Ice time per game16:3222:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6899 pct0.0942 pct
Shot attempts per game5.795 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−1.02 pct+0.787 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share74.8%97 pct44.0%34 pct
Chances for per 604.0796 pct1.7927 pct
Chances against per 601.3789 pct2.2849 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5791 pct+0.2970 pct
Creates per 60+0.4289 pct+0.2068 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1579 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →