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Tomas Hertl vs Brenden Dillon

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Tomas Hertl sits in the 99th percentile, Brenden Dillon the 5th.

MeasureHertlDillon
Scoring · NHL
Points50
Goals30
Assists20
Ice time per game16:2513:17
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6899 pct0.015 pct
Shot attempts per game5.395 pct0.78 pct
Goals above expected+0.370 pct0.059 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share72.5%97 pct56.4%64 pct
Chances for per 603.8895 pct1.7325 pct
Chances against per 601.4788 pct1.3491 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6092 pct−0.2116 pct
Creates per 60+0.4490 pct−0.287 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1679 pct+0.0759 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →