Tom Wilson vs Mark Kastelic
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Capitals · RTom WilsonChange first player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Dylan Strome
- Ryan Leonard
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Martin Fehérváry
- Matt Roy
- Jordan Kyrou
- Justin Sourdif
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Ilya Protas
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Bruins · CMark KastelicChange second player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tom Wilson is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Mark Kastelic sits in the 93rd percentile, Tom Wilson the 33rd.
| Measure | Wilson | Kastelic |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 17:13 | 10:56 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1455 pct | 0.029 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.532 pct | 1.017 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.327 pct | −0.153 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 45.4%35 pct | 60.1%71 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.2445 pct | 1.9233 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.7033 pct | 1.2893 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6091 pct | −0.0134 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3180 pct | −0.0725 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2892 pct | +0.0657 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →