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Tom Wilson vs Ivan Barbashev

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tom Wilson is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Tom Wilson sits in the 93rd percentile, Ivan Barbashev the 18th.

MeasureWilsonBarbashev
Scoring · NHL
Points43
Goals10
Assists33
Ice time per game18:0514:31
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1662 pct0.0943 pct
Shot attempts per game1.736 pct1.841 pct
Goals above expected+0.578 pct−0.422 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share58.6%71 pct53.4%56 pct
Chances for per 603.4291 pct2.0038 pct
Chances against per 602.4245 pct1.7576 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6693 pct−0.0333 pct
Creates per 60+0.3685 pct+0.1256 pct
Prevents per 60+0.3093 pct−0.1518 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →