Tom Wilson vs Nic Dowd
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Capitals · RTom WilsonChange first player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Dylan Strome
- Ryan Leonard
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Martin Fehérváry
- Matt Roy
- Jordan Kyrou
- Justin Sourdif
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Ilya Protas
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
Another club (its chance leader)
Golden Knights · CNic DowdChange second player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- Mitch Marner
- William Karlsson
- Trevor Connelly
- Victor Olofsson
- Jack Eichel
- Braeden Bowman
- Mark Stone
- Marc Gatcomb
- Noah Hanifin
- Shea Theodore
- Rasmus Andersson
- Ivan Barbashev
- Nic Dowd
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Brayden McNabb
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tom Wilson is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Tom Wilson sits in the 91st percentile, Nic Dowd the 42nd.
| Measure | Wilson | Dowd |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 17:13 | 10:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1455 pct | 0.0527 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.533 pct | 1.018 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.326 pct | −0.140 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 45.4%36 pct | 50.6%47 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.2447 pct | 2.9873 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.7033 pct | 2.9123 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5991 pct | +0.0542 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3180 pct | −0.0234 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2892 pct | +0.0759 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 518 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →