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Mike Matheson vs Alexis Lafrenière

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Alexis Lafrenière sits in the 89th percentile, Mike Matheson the 13th.

MeasureMathesonLafrenière
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals03
Assists12
Ice time per game24:4119:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1249 pct0.2374 pct
Shot attempts per game2.357 pct2.664 pct
Goals above expected−0.323 pct−0.144 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share44.4%32 pct53.0%54 pct
Chances for per 602.1042 pct2.6161 pct
Chances against per 602.6335 pct2.3148 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1918 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 60−0.2013 pct+0.4289 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0146 pct+0.1881 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →