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Stefan Noesen vs John Tavares

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Tavares is ahead on 8 of 10 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: John Tavares sits in the 95th percentile, Stefan Noesen the 13th.

MeasureNoesenTavares
Scoring · NHL
Points03
Goals01
Assists02
Ice time per game7:2417:36
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0213 pct0.4695 pct
Shot attempts per game1.016 pct4.894 pct
Goals above expected0.057 pct−0.87 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—35.9%16 pct
Chances for per 60—2.2445 pct
Chances against per 60—3.994 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1758 pct+0.3172 pct
Creates per 60+0.1356 pct+0.3079 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0452 pct+0.0145 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 533 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →