Connor Murphy vs Brandon Carlo
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Oilers · DConnor MurphyChange first player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brandon Carlo is ahead on 5 of 9 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Brandon Carlo sits in the 84th percentile, Connor Murphy the 29th.
| Measure | Murphy | Carlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 0 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 20:52 | 17:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.017 pct | 0.029 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.325 pct | 1.325 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.058 pct | −0.155 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 43.1%29 pct | 63.5%84 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3953 pct | 3.2384 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 3.1616 pct | 1.8670 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.1918 pct | −0.2117 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.2310 pct | −0.296 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0351 pct | +0.0964 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →