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Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Alex DeBrincat

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Alex DeBrincat sits in the 79th percentile, Jean-Gabriel Pageau the 15th.

MeasurePageauDeBrincat
Scoring · NHL
Points14
Goals02
Assists12
Ice time per game14:3020:35
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0420 pct0.2273 pct
Shot attempts per game1.015 pct3.379 pct
Goals above expected−0.146 pct+0.372 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share29.5%8 pct51.5%50 pct
Chances for per 601.023 pct1.9937 pct
Chances against per 602.4343 pct1.8768 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0442 pct+0.7296 pct
Creates per 60+0.1154 pct+0.6698 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0729 pct+0.0657 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →