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Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Tkachuk

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Matthew Tkachuk is ahead on 12 of 12 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Matthew Tkachuk sits in the 83rd percentile, Jean-Gabriel Pageau the 15th.

MeasurePageauTkachuk
Scoring · NHL
Points13
Goals02
Assists11
Ice time per game14:3021:40
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0419 pct0.2781 pct
Shot attempts per game1.015 pct3.583 pct
Goals above expected−0.147 pct+0.993 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share29.5%9 pct50.2%47 pct
Chances for per 601.023 pct1.8530 pct
Chances against per 602.4344 pct1.8372 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0442 pct+0.7597 pct
Creates per 60+0.1154 pct+0.5494 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0729 pct+0.2185 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →