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Josh Manson vs Barrett Hayton

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Josh Manson is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Josh Manson sits in the 94th percentile, Barrett Hayton the 13th.

MeasureMansonHayton
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game15:3413:38
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0315 pct0.1866 pct
Shot attempts per game1.532 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected+0.994 pct−0.513 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share67.8%88 pct66.2%86 pct
Chances for per 605.2799 pct3.2985 pct
Chances against per 602.5039 pct1.6877 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1150 pct+0.3879 pct
Creates per 600.0037 pct+0.2775 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1170 pct+0.1067 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →