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Josh Manson vs Alex DeBrincat

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Josh Manson sits in the 99th percentile, Alex DeBrincat the 37th.

MeasureMansonDeBrincat
Scoring · NHL
Points34
Goals12
Assists22
Ice time per game15:3420:35
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0315 pct0.2273 pct
Shot attempts per game1.531 pct3.379 pct
Goals above expected+0.994 pct+0.372 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share67.8%91 pct51.5%50 pct
Chances for per 605.2799 pct1.9937 pct
Chances against per 602.5039 pct1.8768 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1151 pct+0.7296 pct
Creates per 600.0037 pct+0.6698 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1168 pct+0.0657 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →