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Mikael Granlund vs Connor McDavid

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 90th percentile, Mikael Granlund the 3rd.

MeasureGranlundMcDavid
Scoring · NHL
Points29
Goals12
Assists17
Ice time per game20:3523:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3187 pct0.2274 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct2.766 pct
Goals above expected+0.474 pct+0.371 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share48.9%44 pct70.6%95 pct
Chances for per 601.023 pct3.4890 pct
Chances against per 601.0696 pct1.4588 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0948 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.1967 pct+0.6598 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1024 pct+0.0554 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →