Brock Nelson vs Collin Graf
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Sharks · RCollin GrafChange second player
Sharks skaters
- Will Smith
- Tyler Toffoli
- Michael Misa
- Kiefer Sherwood
- Luca Cagnoni
- Alexander Wennberg
- Macklin Celebrini
- Mason Marchment
- Zack Ostapchuk
- Igor Chernyshov
- Collin Graf
- Nolan Allan
- Ivar Stenberg
- Dmitry Orlov
- Jacob Trouba
- Darnell Nurse
- Michael Kesselring
- Barclay Goodrow
- Sam Dickinson
- Ty Dellandrea
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Brock Nelson sits in the 80th percentile, Collin Graf the 4th.
| Measure | Nelson | Graf |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 15:24 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0942 pct | 0.0840 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 1.017 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.889 pct | −0.231 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%72 pct | 37.8%20 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1780 pct | 0.994 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1358 pct | 1.6282 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +0.1758 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4891 pct | +0.0443 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | +0.1372 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →