Brock Nelson vs Leo Carlsson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Ducks · CLeo CarlssonChange second player
Ducks skaters
- Cutter Gauthier
- Beckett Sennecke
- Mikael Granlund
- A.J. Greer
- Ryan Poehling
- Leo Carlsson
- Jackson LaCombe
- Tristan Luneau
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Tyson Hinds
- Jeff Malott
- Alex Killorn
- Tim Washe
- Nikita Nesterenko
- Sam Colangelo
- Noah Warren
- Frank Vatrano
- Judd Caulfield
- Travis Mitchell
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson and Leo Carlsson split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Brock Nelson sits in the 80th percentile, Leo Carlsson the 16th.
| Measure | Nelson | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 5 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 4 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 19:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0941 pct | 0.1765 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 1.532 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.890 pct | +0.783 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%70 pct | 47.9%42 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1780 pct | 3.2182 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1356 pct | 3.4911 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +0.1556 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4892 pct | +0.3179 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | −0.1616 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →