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Brock Nelson vs Tye Kartye

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 10 of 11 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 90th percentile, Tye Kartye the 15th.

MeasureNelsonKartye
Scoring · NHL
Points32
Goals10
Assists22
Ice time per game17:4314:39
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0941 pct0.1249 pct
Shot attempts per game1.017 pct1.017 pct
Goals above expected+0.890 pct−0.515 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.7%70 pct46.2%38 pct
Chances for per 603.1780 pct1.9333 pct
Chances against per 602.1356 pct2.2550 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6493 pct−0.0431 pct
Creates per 60+0.4892 pct−0.0528 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1680 pct+0.0246 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →