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Brock Nelson vs Matt Boldy

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 89th percentile, Matt Boldy the 2nd.

MeasureNelsonBoldy
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game17:4320:59
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0941 pct0.4695 pct
Shot attempts per game1.015 pct6.798 pct
Goals above expected+0.889 pct−1.42 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.7%73 pct52.7%53 pct
Chances for per 603.1782 pct2.5659 pct
Chances against per 602.1357 pct2.3049 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6493 pct+0.4080 pct
Creates per 60+0.4892 pct+0.4490 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1680 pct−0.0532 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →