Brock Nelson vs Warren Foegele
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Matt Boldy
Another club (its chance leader)
Senators · LWarren FoegeleChange second player
Senators skaters
- William Eklund
- Drake Batherson
- Tim Stützle
- Stephen Halliday
- Michael Amadio
- Shane Pinto
- Dylan Cozens
- Thomas Chabot
- Claude Giroux
- Jordan Spence
- Fabian Zetterlund
- Hayden Hodgson
- Carter Yakemchuk
- Ridly Greig
- Warren Foegele
- Tyler Kleven
- Nikolas Matinpalo
- Nick Cousins
- Cameron Crotty
- Jake Sanderson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Matt Boldy
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Brock Nelson sits in the 70th percentile, Warren Foegele the 20th.
| Measure | Nelson | Foegele |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 12:37 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0942 pct | 0.0318 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 0.34 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.889 pct | −0.146 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%70 pct | 37.9%20 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1779 pct | 2.1242 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1357 pct | 3.4713 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +0.2566 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4891 pct | +0.1355 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | +0.1372 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 553 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →