Brock Nelson vs Nathan MacKinnon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 99th percentile, Brock Nelson the 17th.
| Measure | Nelson | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 5 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 18:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0941 pct | 0.6498 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 7.599 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.890 pct | +0.785 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%70 pct | 63.4%81 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1780 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1356 pct | 2.0162 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +1.2199 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4892 pct | +1.2599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | −0.0335 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →