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Brock Nelson vs Rickard Rakell

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 90th percentile, Rickard Rakell the 14th.

MeasureNelsonRakell
Scoring · NHL
Points32
Goals10
Assists22
Ice time per game17:4318:29
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0941 pct0.2577 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct3.579 pct
Goals above expected+0.890 pct−0.514 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.7%72 pct58.7%68 pct
Chances for per 603.1781 pct3.9195 pct
Chances against per 602.1356 pct2.7530 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6493 pct+0.3779 pct
Creates per 60+0.4892 pct+0.2371 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1682 pct+0.1476 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →