Brock Nelson vs Sam Carrick
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Jaden Schwartz
- Nicolas Roy
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Cale Makar
- Fedor Svechkov
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Sam Malinski
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Brock Nelson
- Brent Burns
- Parker Kelly
- Devon Toews
- Zachary L'Heureux
- Brett Kulak
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Sabres · CSam CarrickChange second player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 9 of 10 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Brock Nelson sits in the 89th percentile, Sam Carrick the 26th.
| Measure | Nelson | Carrick |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:25 | 7:32 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0838 pct | 0.0315 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.015 pct | 1.531 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.886 pct | −0.155 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 47.7%40 pct | — |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3348 pct | — |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.5639 pct | — |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5690 pct | +0.0441 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4389 pct | −0.0726 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1372 pct | +0.1167 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →