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Tyler Toffoli vs Erik Cernak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tyler Toffoli is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Erik Cernak sits in the 85th percentile, Tyler Toffoli the 5th.

MeasureToffoliCernak
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game12:4019:36
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2374 pct0.0737 pct
Shot attempts per game3.074 pct2.356 pct
Goals above expected+0.373 pct−0.233 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share26.2%5 pct65.4%85 pct
Chances for per 601.4013 pct3.0375 pct
Chances against per 603.936 pct1.6083 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0543 pct−0.349 pct
Creates per 60+0.1662 pct−0.452 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1123 pct+0.1270 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 553 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →