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Brian Dumoulin vs Michael McCarron

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Michael McCarron is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brian Dumoulin sits in the 93rd percentile, Michael McCarron the 32nd.

MeasureDumoulinMcCarron
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals10
Assists02
Ice time per game15:4315:11
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0420 pct0.1148 pct
Shot attempts per game1.532 pct4.591 pct
Goals above expected+0.993 pct−0.232 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share46.9%40 pct52.5%53 pct
Chances for per 603.0376 pct2.1241 pct
Chances against per 603.4413 pct1.9266 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1420 pct+0.1253 pct
Creates per 60−0.2210 pct+0.0341 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0863 pct+0.1067 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →