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Brian Dumoulin vs Ryan O'Reilly

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Ryan O'Reilly is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brian Dumoulin sits in the 92nd percentile, Ryan O'Reilly the 19th.

MeasureDumoulinO'Reilly
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals10
Assists02
Ice time per game15:4321:52
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0420 pct0.1455 pct
Shot attempts per game1.531 pct2.357 pct
Goals above expected+0.992 pct−0.419 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share46.9%40 pct49.6%45 pct
Chances for per 603.0377 pct1.8629 pct
Chances against per 603.4411 pct1.8968 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1420 pct+0.5790 pct
Creates per 60−0.2210 pct+0.3382 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0863 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 538 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →