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Brayden McNabb vs Barrett Hayton

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Barrett Hayton is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Barrett Hayton sits in the 85th percentile, Brayden McNabb the 28th.

MeasureMcNabbHayton
Scoring · NHL
Points40
Goals00
Assists40
Ice time per game18:3413:38
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0319 pct0.1866 pct
Shot attempts per game2.354 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−0.147 pct−0.513 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share44.3%34 pct66.2%86 pct
Chances for per 601.8128 pct3.2985 pct
Chances against per 602.2750 pct1.6877 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0238 pct+0.3779 pct
Creates per 60−0.0923 pct+0.2876 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1170 pct+0.1068 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →