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Brayden McNabb vs Mitch Marner

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mitch Marner is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Mitch Marner sits in the 84th percentile, Brayden McNabb the 20th.

MeasureMcNabbMarner
Scoring · NHL
Points42
Goals01
Assists41
Ice time per game18:5020:33
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0420 pct0.2884 pct
Shot attempts per game2.562 pct3.377 pct
Goals above expected−0.142 pct−0.143 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%59 pct56.6%65 pct
Chances for per 602.1644 pct2.0339 pct
Chances against per 601.8472 pct1.5684 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0845 pct+0.5088 pct
Creates per 60−0.0825 pct+0.3181 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1577 pct+0.1982 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →