Skip to content

John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Macklin Celebrini is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Macklin Celebrini sits in the 89th percentile, John Tavares the 17th.

MeasureTavaresCelebrini
Scoring · NHL
Points25
Goals00
Assists25
Ice time per game17:1222:20
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3790 pct0.2272 pct
Shot attempts per game3.377 pct5.595 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct−0.416 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share33.0%13 pct53.3%54 pct
Chances for per 601.6019 pct1.5919 pct
Chances against per 603.2417 pct1.3989 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3678 pct+0.5489 pct
Creates per 60+0.2775 pct+0.2978 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0965 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →