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John Tavares vs Cole Smith

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Tavares is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: John Tavares sits in the 91st percentile, Cole Smith the 25th.

MeasureTavaresSmith
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals00
Assists20
Ice time per game17:1214:53
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3791 pct0.0525 pct
Shot attempts per game3.376 pct0.711 pct
Goals above expected−1.11 pct−0.141 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share33.0%12 pct43.8%34 pct
Chances for per 601.6019 pct2.2245 pct
Chances against per 603.2417 pct2.8526 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3679 pct+0.2364 pct
Creates per 60+0.2876 pct+0.0343 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0965 pct+0.2085 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →