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John Tavares vs Connor McMichael

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Tavares is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Connor McMichael sits in the 72nd percentile, John Tavares the 4th.

MeasureTavaresMcMichael
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals10
Assists21
Ice time per game17:3614:11
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4695 pct0.3186 pct
Shot attempts per game4.894 pct4.088 pct
Goals above expected−0.87 pct+0.166 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share35.9%16 pct61.0%76 pct
Chances for per 602.2446 pct2.8468 pct
Chances against per 603.994 pct1.8272 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3172 pct+0.0645 pct
Creates per 60+0.3079 pct+0.2472 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0145 pct−0.1714 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →