John Tavares vs Brandon Carlo
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Maple Leafs · CJohn TavaresChange first player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Darren Raddysh
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Teddy Blueger
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Morgan Rielly
- Jake McCabe
- Brandon Duhaime
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Troy Stecher
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Adam Jiricek
- Jonatan Berggren
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Jake Neighbours
- Philip Broberg
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Connor McMichael
- Colton Parayko
- Robert Thomas
- Pius Suter
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Ross Johnston
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Tavares is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: John Tavares sits in the 90th percentile, Brandon Carlo the 8th.
| Measure | Tavares | Carlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 0 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:12 | 16:32 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3790 pct | 0.018 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.377 pct | 1.017 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.13 pct | 0.060 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 33.0%13 pct | 55.9%61 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.6019 pct | 3.6993 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 3.2417 pct | 2.9123 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3678 pct | −0.2613 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.2775 pct | −0.305 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0965 pct | +0.0452 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →