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Ryan O'Reilly vs Jaroslav Chmelar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Ryan O'Reilly is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Ryan O'Reilly sits in the 88th percentile, Jaroslav Chmelar the 28th.

MeasureO'ReillyChmelar
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals00
Assists20
Ice time per game21:417:31
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1456 pct0.1044 pct
Shot attempts per game2.358 pct0.810 pct
Goals above expected−0.420 pct−0.421 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share49.6%45 pct42.3%28 pct
Chances for per 601.8630 pct1.3010 pct
Chances against per 601.8969 pct1.7775 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5791 pct+0.0846 pct
Creates per 60+0.3382 pct+0.1559 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2488 pct−0.0728 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →