Ryan O'Reilly vs Auston Matthews
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Predators · CRyan O'ReillyChange first player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Nils Hoglander
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Filip Forsberg
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Mavrik Bourque
- Nick Perbix
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Roman Josi
- Adam Wilsby
- Ross Colton
- Alexander Kerfoot
- William Trudeau
- Reid Schaefer
- Nicolas Hague
- Brady Skjei
- Jack Drury
- Ryan Ufko
- Jack Ahcan
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · CAuston MatthewsChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Auston Matthews is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Auston Matthews sits in the 75th percentile, Ryan O'Reilly the 19th.
| Measure | O'Reilly | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 5 |
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 21:52 | 22:24 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1455 pct | 0.4093 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 5.095 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.419 pct | +0.475 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 49.6%45 pct | 62.4%81 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.8630 pct | 3.2484 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.8967 pct | 1.9565 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5791 pct | +1.0899 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3383 pct | +0.8599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2488 pct | +0.2489 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →