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Ryan O'Reilly vs Matt Roy

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Ryan O'Reilly is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Ryan O'Reilly sits in the 83rd percentile, Matt Roy the 23rd.

MeasureO'ReillyRoy
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals00
Assists20
Ice time per game21:5218:26
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1455 pct0.0943 pct
Shot attempts per game2.357 pct0.55 pct
Goals above expected−0.419 pct−0.237 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share49.6%45 pct41.7%26 pct
Chances for per 601.8630 pct1.7325 pct
Chances against per 601.8967 pct2.4244 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5791 pct+0.1151 pct
Creates per 60+0.3383 pct−0.0923 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2488 pct+0.2186 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →