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John Carlson vs Colton Dach

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: John Carlson sits in the 65th percentile, Colton Dach the 10th.

MeasureCarlsonDach
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals00
Assists10
Ice time per game22:0813:23
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1148 pct0.0944 pct
Shot attempts per game4.087 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected−0.231 pct−0.325 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.4%74 pct60.2%73 pct
Chances for per 602.3853 pct1.4114 pct
Chances against per 601.5683 pct0.9397 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3679 pct−0.0530 pct
Creates per 60+0.1965 pct−0.2310 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1782 pct+0.1883 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →