John Carlson vs Connor McMichael
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- William Eklund
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · LConnor McMichaelChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Adam Jiricek
- Jonatan Berggren
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Jake Neighbours
- Philip Broberg
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Connor McMichael
- Colton Parayko
- Robert Thomas
- Pius Suter
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Ross Johnston
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- William Eklund
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: John Carlson sits in the 81st percentile, Connor McMichael the 10th.
| Measure | Carlson | McMichael |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 14:11 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0943 pct | 0.1046 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 2.561 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.327 pct | −0.234 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%68 pct | — |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3849 pct | — |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | — |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3272 pct | +0.0339 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1561 pct | +0.2371 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1681 pct | −0.2110 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 542 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →