John Carlson vs Auston Matthews
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · CAuston MatthewsChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Darren Raddysh
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Teddy Blueger
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Morgan Rielly
- Jake McCabe
- Brandon Duhaime
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Troy Stecher
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Auston Matthews is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Auston Matthews sits in the 89th percentile, John Carlson the 43rd.
| Measure | Carlson | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 21:29 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0943 pct | 0.3589 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.072 pct | 4.390 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.327 pct | −0.155 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%68 pct | 62.8%80 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3850 pct | 3.5891 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | 2.1256 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3272 pct | +1.0999 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1560 pct | +0.8799 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1681 pct | +0.2287 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →