John Carlson vs Danton Heinen
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Blue Jackets · LDanton HeinenChange second player
Blue Jackets skaters
- Cole Sillinger
- Matthew Knies
- Danton Heinen
- Mathieu Olivier
- Kent Johnson
- Adam Fantilli
- Sean Monahan
- Zach Werenski
- Denton Mateychuk
- Charlie Coyle
- Dmitri Voronkov
- Conor Garland
- Ryan Lomberg
- Valeri Nichushkin
- Carson Soucy
- Jake Christiansen
- Erik Gudbranson
- Emil Andrae
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Danton Heinen sits in the 84th percentile, John Carlson the 48th.
| Measure | Carlson | Heinen |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 0 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 22:08 | 11:48 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1148 pct | 0.3084 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.087 pct | 2.560 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.231 pct | −0.610 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 60.4%74 pct | 51.9%51 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3853 pct | 2.3752 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5683 pct | 2.2053 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3679 pct | +0.3172 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1965 pct | +0.1864 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1782 pct | +0.1374 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →