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John Carlson vs Brett Pesce

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Brett Pesce sits in the 91st percentile, John Carlson the 50th.

MeasureCarlsonPesce
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals00
Assists20
Ice time per game20:4219:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0943 pct0.018 pct
Shot attempts per game3.072 pct1.532 pct
Goals above expected−0.327 pct0.061 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.1%68 pct64.4%84 pct
Chances for per 602.3850 pct3.5891 pct
Chances against per 601.6580 pct1.9863 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3272 pct+0.0846 pct
Creates per 60+0.1560 pct−0.1121 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1681 pct+0.1983 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →