John Carlson vs Michael McCarron
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Wild · CMichael McCarronChange second player
Wild skaters
- Kirill Kaprizov
- Matt Boldy
- Quinn Hughes
- Blake Coleman
- Joel Eriksson Ek
- Marcus Foligno
- Michael McCarron
- Maxim Shabanov
- Nick Foligno
- Yakov Trenin
- Danila Yurov
- Bobby Brink
- Ryan Hartman
- Olli Maatta
- Daemon Hunt
- Jared Spurgeon
- Zach Bogosian
- Jonas Brodin
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Michael McCarron sits in the 91st percentile, John Carlson the 72nd.
| Measure | Carlson | McCarron |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 15:11 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0943 pct | 0.1148 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.072 pct | 4.591 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.327 pct | −0.232 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%68 pct | 52.5%53 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3850 pct | 2.1241 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | 1.9266 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3272 pct | +0.1253 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1560 pct | +0.0341 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1681 pct | +0.1067 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →