John Carlson vs Tyler Toffoli
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Sharks · CTyler ToffoliChange second player
Sharks skaters
- Will Smith
- Tyler Toffoli
- Michael Misa
- Kiefer Sherwood
- Luca Cagnoni
- Alexander Wennberg
- Macklin Celebrini
- Mason Marchment
- Zack Ostapchuk
- Igor Chernyshov
- Collin Graf
- Nolan Allan
- Ivar Stenberg
- Dmitry Orlov
- Jacob Trouba
- Darnell Nurse
- Michael Kesselring
- Barclay Goodrow
- Sam Dickinson
- Ty Dellandrea
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 7 of 11 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: John Carlson sits in the 80th percentile, Tyler Toffoli the 4th.
| Measure | Carlson | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 12:40 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0942 pct | 0.2374 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 3.073 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.330 pct | +0.372 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%70 pct | 26.2%4 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3851 pct | 1.4012 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | 3.934 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3273 pct | +0.0543 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1661 pct | +0.1662 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | −0.1123 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →