John Carlson vs Jared Spurgeon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Wild · DJared SpurgeonChange second player
Wild skaters
- Matt Boldy
- Kirill Kaprizov
- Quinn Hughes
- Blake Coleman
- Joel Eriksson Ek
- Maxim Shabanov
- Bobby Brink
- Marcus Foligno
- Danila Yurov
- Michael McCarron
- Nick Foligno
- Yakov Trenin
- Ryan Hartman
- Olli Maatta
- Jared Spurgeon
- Daemon Hunt
- Zach Bogosian
- Jonas Brodin
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Jared Spurgeon sits in the 94th percentile, John Carlson the 29th.
| Measure | Carlson | Spurgeon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 20:21 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0942 pct | 0.017 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 1.325 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.329 pct | +1.094 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%71 pct | 48.6%42 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3852 pct | 2.0037 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | 2.1159 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3273 pct | +0.0845 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1560 pct | −0.1914 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1679 pct | +0.2691 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →