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Zach Bogosian vs Alexis Lafrenière

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Alexis Lafrenière sits in the 80th percentile, Zach Bogosian the 3rd.

MeasureBogosianLafrenière
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game15:1319:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.003 pct0.2780 pct
Shot attempts per game0.57 pct2.868 pct
Goals above expected0.066 pct−1.12 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.3%54 pct54.7%58 pct
Chances for per 602.4656 pct2.6964 pct
Chances against per 602.1554 pct2.2352 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1917 pct+0.6392 pct
Creates per 60−0.1616 pct+0.4390 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.2084 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 532 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →