Skip to content

Steven Stamkos vs Matt Grzelcyk

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Steven Stamkos is ahead on 10 of 10 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Steven Stamkos sits in the 99th percentile, Matt Grzelcyk the 1st.

MeasureStamkosGrzelcyk
Scoring · NHL
Points40
Goals30
Assists10
Ice time per game19:3014:27
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6599 pct0.001 pct
Shot attempts per game4.793 pct0.01 pct
Goals above expected+1.094 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share47.2%41 pct—
Chances for per 601.8529 pct—
Chances against per 602.0761 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2970 pct−0.349 pct
Creates per 60+0.2978 pct−0.324 pct
Prevents per 600.0042 pct−0.0140 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 538 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →