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Lars Eller vs Erik Cernak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Lars Eller is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Erik Cernak sits in the 77th percentile, Lars Eller the 7th.

MeasureEllerCernak
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals00
Assists20
Ice time per game12:4119:36
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0944 pct0.0737 pct
Shot attempts per game1.739 pct2.354 pct
Goals above expected−0.326 pct−0.232 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share66.4%87 pct65.4%85 pct
Chances for per 601.117 pct3.0377 pct
Chances against per 600.5699 pct1.6081 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0826 pct−0.339 pct
Creates per 60−0.239 pct−0.452 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1579 pct+0.1271 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 518 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →