Lars Eller vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Panthers · CLars EllerChange first player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Brady Tkachuk
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Sam Bennett
- Seth Jones
- Anton Lundell
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Uvis Balinskis
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Connor McDavid
- Evan Bouchard
- Max Jones
- Alex Formenton
- Trent Frederic
- Ryan Shea
- Isaac Howard
- Owen Michaels
- Colton Dach
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Mattias Ekholm
- Jake Walman
- Ty Emberson
- Josh Samanski
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Jason Dickinson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 98th percentile, Lars Eller the 10th.
| Measure | Eller | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 12 |
| Goals | 0 | 3 |
| Assists | 3 | 9 |
| Ice time per game | 12:45 | 23:56 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0838 pct | 0.2273 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.841 pct | 3.073 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.326 pct | +1.195 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 68.0%93 pct | 73.0%97 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.239 pct | 3.6394 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 0.5899 pct | 1.3491 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0628 pct | +0.7497 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.2310 pct | +0.6698 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1780 pct | +0.0862 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →