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Lars Eller vs Brock Nelson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Brock Nelson sits in the 92nd percentile, Lars Eller the 9th.

MeasureEllerNelson
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals01
Assists22
Ice time per game12:4117:43
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0945 pct0.0941 pct
Shot attempts per game1.738 pct1.017 pct
Goals above expected−0.326 pct+0.890 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share66.4%87 pct59.7%70 pct
Chances for per 601.116 pct3.1780 pct
Chances against per 600.5699 pct2.1356 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0825 pct+0.6493 pct
Creates per 60−0.249 pct+0.4892 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1579 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →