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Mikael Backlund vs Justin Sourdif

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Justin Sourdif is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Justin Sourdif sits in the 90th percentile, Mikael Backlund the 5th.

MeasureBacklundSourdif
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals01
Assists00
Ice time per game17:0712:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3288 pct0.0735 pct
Shot attempts per game5.396 pct1.015 pct
Goals above expected−1.05 pct+0.990 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share46.6%38 pct56.9%65 pct
Chances for per 602.6562 pct3.0779 pct
Chances against per 603.0419 pct2.3248 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0334 pct+0.5088 pct
Creates per 60−0.0923 pct+0.3484 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →